Spread · 6 markets

Hantavirus Spread Markets

Markets on outbreak velocity: weekly case counts, doubling times, R-effective estimates and inter-personal transmission events.

Spread markets focus on the dynamics of the 2026 outbreak rather than its policy or geography. Questions include whether the weekly Andes-virus case count exceeds a threshold, whether a documented secondary inter-personal transmission chain is confirmed in a new country, and whether modeling consortia publish R₀ estimates above given values.

Will WHO-confirmed Andes/HPS cases linked to 2026 cluster exceed 100 by Aug 1?
closes in 79d 21h· spread· global
yes
25¢
Will a second cruise ship be linked to a hantavirus cluster by Aug 1?
closes in 79d 21h· cruise· cluster
yes
16¢
Will MV Hondius quarantine period exceed 42 days?
closes in 48d 21h· MV Hondius· quarantine· cruise
yes
52¢
Will a second cruise ship report hantavirus cases by September 1?
closes in 110d 21h· cruise· hantavirus· second-ship
yes
18¢
Will global hantavirus cases exceed 500 by September 1, 2026?
closes in 110d 21h· cases· hantavirus· global
yes
15¢
Will human-to-human transmission of Andes virus be confirmed outside South America?
closes in 231d 21h· Andes-virus· human-to-human· transmission
yes
21¢