LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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Spreadcruiseclustercloses in 83d 21h

Will a second cruise ship be linked to a hantavirus cluster by Aug 1?

WHO/PAHO/CDC linkage of ≥3 cases to a cruise ship other than MV Hondius.

YES
16¢
NO
84¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
0%25%50%75%100%
Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if an official agency publishes naming a different vessel with ≥3 confirmed cases before 2026-08-01.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: WHO DON / CDC HAN / PAHO

Resolution sources · 5

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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