LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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Spreadspreadglobalcloses in 83d 21h

Will WHO-confirmed Andes/HPS cases linked to 2026 cluster exceed 100 by Aug 1?

Aggregate confirmed (not suspected) cases across all WHO regions.

YES
25¢
NO
75¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
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Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if any WHO DON published before 2026-08-01 reports ≥101 cumulative confirmed cases attributed to the 2026 hantavirus cluster (any species).

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: WHO DON cumulative figures

Resolution sources · 4

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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