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SpreadAndes-virushuman-to-humantransmissionglobalcloses in 231d 21h

Will human-to-human transmission of Andes virus be confirmed outside South America?

Andes virus is the only hantavirus with documented H2H transmission (Argentina 1996, 2018-2020). If person-to-person spread is confirmed in Europe, North America, or Asia, pandemic potential escalates dramatically.

YES
21¢
NO
79¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
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YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if WHO, ECDC, CDC, or a peer-reviewed journal (IF≥4) confirms human-to-human Andes virus transmission outside South America before 2026-12-31.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: WHO DON + peer-reviewed epidemiological studies

Resolution sources · 3

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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