Will global hantavirus cases exceed 500 by September 1, 2026?
COVID went from 282 confirmed cases (Jan 20, 2020) to 87,000+ by end of February. Hantavirus spreads differently but if H2H transmission is confirmed, exponential growth is possible.
Resolves YES if cumulative confirmed hantavirus cases (2026 cluster, any species) exceed 500 globally as reported by WHO or aggregated national sources before 2026-09-01.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: WHO DON + ECDC + national health agency cumulative figures
Resolution sources · 4
RSS at /rss-feeds/disease-outbreak-news.xml. Filter items containing 'hantavirus' or DON#599. Each item links to a permalink with structured 'Situation at a glance' / 'Epidemiology' / 'WHO risk assessment' sections — scrape with cheerio.
Weekly PDF + RSS. Parse PDF for any 'hantavirus' / 'Andes' string.
Useful for Argentina/Chile case counts; PAHO often publishes before WHO HQ. Check /sites/default/files/*.pdf weekly digests.
RSS at emergency.cdc.gov/han/rss.asp. CDC issues HAN alerts ahead of MMWR for travel-related imports.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry