Will global hantavirus deaths exceed 10 by July 1, 2026?
The 2026 cluster has reported several fatalities so far. Andes virus HPS has a ~30-40% case fatality rate historically. As cases spread globally, deaths could accumulate rapidly.
Resolves YES if WHO DON or aggregated official national reports show ≥11 cumulative deaths attributed to hantavirus (any species, 2026 cluster) before 2026-07-01.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: WHO DON cumulative death figures
Resolution sources · 3
RSS at /rss-feeds/disease-outbreak-news.xml. Filter items containing 'hantavirus' or DON#599. Each item links to a permalink with structured 'Situation at a glance' / 'Epidemiology' / 'WHO risk assessment' sections — scrape with cheerio.
Useful for Argentina/Chile case counts; PAHO often publishes before WHO HQ. Check /sites/default/files/*.pdf weekly digests.
Weekly PDF + RSS. Parse PDF for any 'hantavirus' / 'Andes' string.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry