LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
back to markets
FatalityMV Hondiusdeathscloses in 52d 20h

Will MV Hondius–linked deaths exceed 10 by July 1, 2026?

Cumulative deaths attributed by WHO/PAHO to the MV Hondius cluster (passengers, crew, secondary contacts).

YES
18¢
NO
82¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
0%25%50%75%100%
Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if a WHO DON or PAHO bulletin published before 2026-07-01 reports ≥11 cumulative deaths attributed to the MV Hondius cluster. Local press alone is insufficient.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: WHO DON updates referencing MV Hondius

Resolution sources · 4

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry