PredictHanta
PREDICTHANTA
back to markets
GeographyUKhantavirusdeathUKHSAcloses in 79d 21h

Will the United Kingdom confirm a hantavirus death by August 1, 2026?

The UK has never recorded a fatal hantavirus case. With increased global travel and the 2026 Andes cluster, UKHSA is on heightened alert for imported cases.

YES
12¢
NO
88¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
0%25%50%75%100%
Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if UKHSA or NHS England confirms at least one death attributed to hantavirus infection (any species) before 2026-08-01 23:59 UTC.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: UKHSA official reports + MHRA death notifications

Resolution sources · 3

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

Related markets

Background reading