Will Germany report community transmission of hantavirus by August 1?
Germany already sees ~1000+ Puumala cases in peak years (bank vole reservoir). This market asks whether Andes virus specifically achieves community transmission chains on German soil.
Resolves YES if RKI or ECDC publishes an assessment confirming community transmission (≥2 generations without travel link) of Andes virus in Germany before 2026-08-01.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: RKI SurvStat + ECDC risk assessments
Resolution sources · 2
Hantavirus is notifiable in Germany. SurvStat exposes weekly case counts as CSV via parametrized URL — wrap as a small ETL.
Weekly PDF + RSS. Parse PDF for any 'hantavirus' / 'Andes' string.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry