Will hantavirus spread to Africa (excluding South Africa) by September 1?
Hantavirus surveillance in sub-Saharan Africa is limited. Serological evidence exists but confirmed clinical cases are extremely rare. Any confirmed case would represent a major surveillance milestone.
Resolves YES if any African country (excluding South Africa) confirms a lab-verified hantavirus case (any species) linked to the 2026 cluster before 2026-09-01. South Africa excluded due to existing surveillance.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: WHO AFRO + national health ministry confirmations
Resolution sources · 3
RSS at /rss-feeds/disease-outbreak-news.xml. Filter items containing 'hantavirus' or DON#599. Each item links to a permalink with structured 'Situation at a glance' / 'Epidemiology' / 'WHO risk assessment' sections — scrape with cheerio.
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry