Will BARDA allocate more than $500M for hantavirus countermeasures by Dec 31?
BARDA committed $10B+ to COVID countermeasures through Operation Warp Speed. A $500M+ allocation for hantavirus would signal the US government views this as a serious pandemic threat.
Resolves YES if BARDA or HHS announces cumulative funding ≥$500M specifically earmarked for hantavirus vaccines, therapeutics, or diagnostics before 2026-12-31.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: BARDA press releases + HHS budget documents
Resolution sources · 3
RSS at emergency.cdc.gov/han/rss.asp. CDC issues HAN alerts ahead of MMWR for travel-related imports.
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry