LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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PolicytravelpolicyG20closes in 52d 20h

Will any G20 country impose hantavirus-specific cruise restrictions by July 1?

Mandatory pre-boarding screening, port-of-call refusals, or cruise bans citing hantavirus.

YES
29¢
NO
71¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
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Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if any G20 member publishes an official measure naming hantavirus as the basis for cruise screening, denial of port entry, or quarantine before 2026-07-01.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: Government gazettes + IHR National Focal Point notices

Resolution sources · 4

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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