LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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PolicyWHOpandemiccovid-echocloses in 114d 21h

Will the WHO Director-General publicly use the word 'pandemic' for hantavirus by Sep 1?

On 11 Mar 2020 Tedros declared COVID-19 a pandemic — a non-IHR but politically pivotal label. Tracks whether WHO leadership applies the term to the 2026 hantavirus situation.

YES
NO
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Resolution rules

Resolves YES if the WHO Director-General, in an official statement or DG-attributed press release, characterises the 2026 hantavirus situation as a 'pandemic' (not 'pandemic potential') before 2026-09-01.

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On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: WHO Director-General press briefings transcripts

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