Trade the next vector.
Price the outbreak in real time.
PredictHanta is an information market on the 2026 hantavirus situation. Resolve questions about WHO declarations, geographic spread, fatality counts and vaccine progress — settled against verifiable WHO, ECDC and PAHO sources.
- connecting…
- 09 May 2026 14:48·hantamap.online·monitoring
Tracker tick: case-count delta 0 over last 5 min. Static JSON feed re-validated against WHO DON #599 baseline.
- 09 May 2026 12:48·WHO · Geneva·verified
DON #599 update: global risk remains LOW. 14 confirmed Andes virus cases linked to MV Hondius; no IHR Emergency Committee convened.
- 09 May 2026 07:48·Switzerland · Zürich·verified
FOPH confirms 1 imported Andes virus case (Zürich resident, MV Hondius passenger). PCR + serology positive at reference lab Spiez.
Will the NY Times run a hantavirus story above the fold by June 1?
Will any sitting head of state or government test positive for hantavirus in 2026?
Will a celebrity with >10M followers publicly confirm hantavirus infection by Aug 1?
Will a major sports league suspend ≥1 game citing hantavirus by Aug 1?
Will WHO or ECDC formally cite a third-party hantavirus dashboard by Aug 1?
Will a major international sporting/cultural event (≥50k attendees) be postponed citing hantavirus by Aug 1?
Will a top-20 music festival cancel its 2026 edition citing hantavirus by July 1?
Will a top-25 box-office 2026 release be delayed citing hantavirus by July 1?
Will any anti-restriction protest >10,000 people occur citing hantavirus measures by Sep 1?
Rodent-borne RNA virus, two clinical syndromes
HFRS in Eurasia (CFR <1–15%); HPS in the Americas (CFR 30–60%). Andes virus is the only orthohantavirus with documented person-to-person spread.
Crowdsourced probability beats news cycles
When the WHO publishes a DON, the market price has often moved hours earlier. We aggregate that signal so policymakers, hedgers and curious humans can read it.
On-chain oracle, off-chain proof
Each market cites a primary public source (WHO DON, ECDC TESSy, MMWR, ClinicalTrials.gov). Disputes go to a 7-day arbitration window before settlement.