LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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MediaeventsOlympics-echocovid-echocloses in 83d 21h

Will a major international sporting/cultural event (≥50k attendees) be postponed citing hantavirus by Aug 1?

Tokyo 2020 was postponed 24 Mar 2020 — the first peacetime Olympic postponement. Tracks any FIFA, Olympic, UEFA, ATP/WTA, F1, Eurovision-tier event.

YES
NO
93¢
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YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if an event with planned attendance ≥50,000 organized by FIFA, IOC, UEFA, ATP, WTA, F1, EBU, or equivalent is officially postponed/cancelled citing hantavirus before 2026-08-01.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: Organizer official statement + Reuters/AP

Resolution sources · 4

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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