Will a 'lab-origin' hypothesis appear in any G7 intelligence or government statement on hantavirus by Dec 31?
The COVID lab-leak debate shifted from fringe to mainstream when the US ODNI tasked an IC review (May 2021) and DOE/FBI assessments leaked (2023). Tracks similar political traction for any hantavirus origin claim.
Resolves YES if any G7 government, intelligence agency or parliamentary committee publishes a statement or declassified assessment giving credible weight to a non-natural origin for the 2026 hantavirus events before 2026-12-31.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: Government statements (declassified) + Reuters/AP confirmation
Resolution sources · 4
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Same role as Reuters; AP often publishes WHO embargoes first.
Global news ingestion — geocoded, multilingual. Best signal for non-English regional outbreaks.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry