LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
back to markets
PolicyWHOIHRcovid-echocloses in 52d 20h

Will WHO convene an IHR Emergency Committee on hantavirus by July 1?

For COVID, WHO's IHR Emergency Committee met 22–23 Jan 2020 and again on 30 Jan when it declared the PHEIC. The mere convening is the procedural antecedent to any PHEIC and a strong policy signal.

YES
14¢
NO
86¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
0%25%50%75%100%
Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if WHO publishes an official statement noting an IHR Emergency Committee was convened on hantavirus before 2026-07-01. Subject-specific working group statements without an EC do NOT count.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: WHO IHR Emergency Committee statements page

Resolution sources · 3

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

Related markets