Will any major airline cancel routes due to hantavirus by August 1?
Airlines began cutting routes to China in late January 2020. By March, global capacity was down 60%. Any airline citing hantavirus for route cancellations would signal industry-level concern.
Resolves YES if any airline in IATA's top-50 by revenue cancels or suspends a scheduled route explicitly citing hantavirus before 2026-08-01.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: Airline press releases + IATA route announcements
Resolution sources · 2
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry